RT Journal Article T1 Parkinson's Disease Severity at 3 Years Can Be Predicted from Non-Motor Symptoms at Baseline A1 Ayala, Alba A1 Matias Trivino-Juarez, Jose A1 Joao Forjaz, Maria A1 Rodriguez-Blazquez, Carmen A1 Rojo-Abuin, Jose-Manuel A1 Martinez-Martin, Pablo A1 ELEP Project Members, K1 Parkinson's disease K1 disease global severity K1 predictive model K1 multilevel analysis K1 multiple imputation K1 Quality-of-life K1 Psychosis rating-scale K1 Psychometric attributes K1 Multiple imputation K1 Sydney multicenter K1 Prognostic-factors K1 Hospital anxiety K1 Progression K1 Motor K1 Depression AB Objective: The aim of this study is to present a predictive model of Parkinson's disease (PD) global severity, measured with the Clinical Impression of Severity Index for Parkinson's Disease (CISI-PD).Methods: This is an observational, longitudinal study with annual follow-up assessments over 3 years (four time points). A multilevel analysis and multiple imputation techniques were performed to generate a predictive model that estimates changes in the CISI-PD at 1, 2, and 3 years.Results: The clinical state of patients (CISI-PD) significantly worsened in the 3-year follow-up. However, this change was of small magnitude (effect size: 0.44). The following baseline variables were significant predictors of the global severity change: baseline global severity of disease, levodopa equivalent dose, depression and anxiety symptoms, autonomic dysfunction, and cognitive state. The goodness-of-fit of the model was adequate, and the sensitive analysis showed that the data imputation method applied was suitable.Conclusion: Disease progression depends more on the individual's baseline characteristics than on the 3-year time period. Results may contribute to a better understanding of the evolution of PD including the non-motor manifestations of the disease. PB Frontiers media sa SN 1664-2295 YR 2017 FD 2017-10-30 LK http://hdl.handle.net/10668/19231 UL http://hdl.handle.net/10668/19231 LA en DS RISalud RD Apr 11, 2025