%0 Journal Article
%A Calabuig, J. M.
%A Jimenez-Fernandez, E.
%A Sanchez-Perez, E. A.
%A Manzanares, S.
%T Modeling Hospital Resource Management during the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Experimental Validation
%D 2021
%U https://hdl.handle.net/10668/26315
%X One of the main challenges posed by the healthcare crisis generated by COVID-19 is to avoid hospital collapse. The occupation of hospital beds by patients diagnosed by COVID-19 implies the diversion or suspension of their use for other specialities. Therefore, it is useful to have information that allows efficient management of future hospital occupancy. This article presents a robust and simple model to show certain characteristics of the evolution of the dynamic process of bed occupancy by patients with COVID-19 in a hospital by means of an adaptation of Kaplan-Meier survival curves. To check this model, the evolution of the COVID-19 hospitalization process of two hospitals between 11 March and 15 June 2020 is analyzed. The information provided by the Kaplan-Meier curves allows forecasts of hospital occupancy in subsequent periods. The results shows an average deviation of 2.45 patients between predictions and actual occupancy in the period analyzed.
%K health econometrics
%K COVID-19
%K Kaplan-Meier
%K decision
%K optimization
%~