RT Journal Article T1 A novel predictive approach for GVHD after allogeneic SCT based on clinical variables and cytokine gene polymorphisms. A1 Martínez-Laperche, Carolina A1 Buces, Elena A1 Aguilera-Morillo, M Carmen A1 Picornell, Antoni A1 González-Rivera, Milagros A1 Lillo, Rosa A1 Santos, Nazly A1 Martín-Antonio, Beatriz A1 Guillem, Vicent A1 Nieto, José B A1 González, Marcos A1 de la Cámara, Rafael A1 Brunet, Salut A1 Jiménez-Velasco, Antonio A1 Espigado, Ildefonso A1 Vallejo, Carlos A1 Sampol, Antonia A1 Bellón, José María A1 Serrano, David A1 Kwon, Mi A1 Gayoso, Jorge A1 Balsalobre, Pascual A1 Urbano-Izpizua, Álvaro A1 Solano, Carlos A1 Gallardo, David A1 Díez-Martín, José Luis A1 Romo, Juan A1 Buño, Ismael A1 GVHD/Immunotherapy Committee of the Spanish Group for Hematopoietic Transplantation, AB Despite considerable advances in our understanding of the pathophysiology of graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), its prediction remains unresolved and depends mainly on clinical data. The aim of this study is to build a predictive model based on clinical variables and cytokine gene polymorphism for predicting acute GVHD (aGVHD) and chronic GVHD (cGVHD) from the analysis of a large cohort of HLA-identical sibling donor allogeneic stem cell transplant (allo-SCT) patients. A total of 25 SNPs in 12 cytokine genes were evaluated in 509 patients. Data were analyzed using a linear regression model and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The statistical model was constructed by randomly selecting 85% of cases (training set), and the predictive ability was confirmed based on the remaining 15% of cases (test set). Models including clinical and genetic variables (CG-M) predicted severe aGVHD significantly better than models including only clinical variables (C-M) or only genetic variables (G-M). For grades 3-4 aGVHD, the correct classification rates (CCR1) were: 100% for CG-M, 88% for G-M, and 50% for C-M. On the other hand, CG-M and G-M predicted extensive cGVHD better than C-M (CCR1: 80% vs. 66.7%, respectively). A risk score was calculated based on LASSO multivariate analyses. It was able to correctly stratify patients who developed grades 3-4 aGVHD (P YR 2018 FD 2018 LK http://hdl.handle.net/10668/12734 UL http://hdl.handle.net/10668/12734 LA en DS RISalud RD Apr 18, 2025