RT Journal Article T1 Assessment of Lung Cancer Risk on the Basis of a Biomarker Panel of Circulating Proteins. A1 Integrative Analysis of Lung Cancer Etiology and Risk (INTEGRAL) Consortium for Early Detection of Lung Cancer, A1 Guida, Florence A1 Sun, Nan A1 Bantis, Leonidas E A1 Muller, David C A1 Li, Peng A1 Taguchi, Ayumu A1 Dhillon, Dilsher A1 Kundnani, Deepali L A1 Patel, Nikul J A1 Yan, Qingxiang A1 Byrnes, Graham A1 Moons, Karel G M A1 Tjønneland, Anne A1 Panico, Salvatore A1 Agnoli, Claudia A1 Vineis, Paolo A1 Palli, Domenico A1 Bueno-de-Mesquita, Bas A1 Peeters, Petra H A1 Agudo, Antonio A1 Huerta, Jose M A1 Dorronsoro, Miren A1 Barranco, Miguel Rodriguez A1 Ardanaz, Eva A1 Travis, Ruth C A1 Byrne, Karl Smith A1 Boeing, Heiner A1 Steffen, Annika A1 Kaaks, Rudolf A1 Hüsing, Anika A1 Trichopoulou, Antonia A1 Lagiou, Pagona A1 La Vecchia, Carlo A1 Severi, Gianluca A1 Boutron-Ruault, Marie-Christine A1 Sandanger, Torkjel M A1 Weiderpass, Elisabete A1 Nøst, Therese H A1 Tsilidis, Kostas A1 Riboli, Elio A1 Grankvist, Kjell A1 Johansson, Mikael A1 Goodman, Gary E A1 Feng, Ziding A1 Brennan, Paul A1 Johansson, Mattias A1 Hanash, Samir M AB There is an urgent need to improve lung cancer risk assessment because current screening criteria miss a large proportion of cases. To investigate whether a lung cancer risk prediction model based on a panel of selected circulating protein biomarkers can outperform a traditional risk prediction model and current US screening criteria. Prediagnostic samples from 108 ever-smoking patients with lung cancer diagnosed within 1 year after blood collection and samples from 216 smoking-matched controls from the Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial (CARET) cohort were used to develop a biomarker risk score based on 4 proteins (cancer antigen 125 [CA125], carcinoembryonic antigen [CEA], cytokeratin-19 fragment [CYFRA 21-1], and the precursor form of surfactant protein B [Pro-SFTPB]). The biomarker score was subsequently validated blindly using absolute risk estimates among 63 ever-smoking patients with lung cancer diagnosed within 1 year after blood collection and 90 matched controls from 2 large European population-based cohorts, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) and the Northern Sweden Health and Disease Study (NSHDS). Model validity in discriminating between future lung cancer cases and controls. Discrimination estimates were weighted to reflect the background populations of EPIC and NSHDS validation studies (area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve [AUC], sensitivity, and specificity). In the validation study of 63 ever-smoking patients with lung cancer and 90 matched controls (mean [SD] age, 57.7 [8.7] years; 68.6% men) from EPIC and NSHDS, an integrated risk prediction model that combined smoking exposure with the biomarker score yielded an AUC of 0.83 (95% CI, 0.76-0.90) compared with 0.73 (95% CI, 0.64-0.82) for a model based on smoking exposure alone (P = .003 for difference in AUC). At an overall specificity of 0.83, based on the US Preventive Services Task Force screening criteria, the sensitivity of the integrated risk prediction (biomarker) model was 0.63 compared with 0.43 for the smoking model. Conversely, at an overall sensitivity of 0.42, based on the US Preventive Services Task Force screening criteria, the integrated risk prediction model yielded a specificity of 0.95 compared with 0.86 for the smoking model. This study provided a proof of principle in showing that a panel of circulating protein biomarkers may improve lung cancer risk assessment and may be used to define eligibility for computed tomography screening. YR 2018 FD 2018-10-11 LK http://hdl.handle.net/10668/12706 UL http://hdl.handle.net/10668/12706 LA en DS RISalud RD Apr 7, 2025