RT Journal Article T1 Development and validation of circulating CA125 prediction models in postmenopausal women A1 Sasamoto, Naoko A1 Babic, Ana A1 Rosner, Bernard A. A1 Fortner, Renée T. A1 Vitonis, Allison F. A1 Yamamoto, Hidemi A1 Fichorova, Raina N. A1 Titus, Linda J. A1 Tjønneland, Anne A1 Hansen, Louise A1 Kvaskoff, Marina A1 Fournier, Agnès A1 Mancini, Francesca Romana A1 Boeing, Heiner A1 Trichopoulou, Antonia A1 Peppa, Eleni A1 Karakatsani, Anna A1 Palli, Domenico A1 Grioni, Sara A1 Mattiello, Amalia A1 Tumino, Rosario A1 Fiano, Valentina A1 Onland-Moret, N. Charlotte A1 Weiderpass, Elisabete A1 Gram, Inger T. A1 Quirós, J. Ramón A1 Lujan-Barroso, Leila A1 Sanchez-Perez, Maria-Jose A1 Colorado-Yohar, Sandra A1 Barricarte, Aurelio A1 Amiano, Pilar A1 Idahl, Annika A1 Lundin, Eva A1 Sartor, Hanna A1 Khaw, Kay-Tee A1 Key, Timothy J. A1 Muller, David A1 Riboli, Elio A1 Gunter, Marc A1 Dossus, Laure A1 Trabert, Britton A1 Wentzensen, Nicolas A1 Kaaks, Rudolf A1 Cramer, Daniel W. A1 Tworoger, Shelley S. A1 Terry, Kathryn L. K1 Ovarian cancer K1 Early detection K1 CA125 K1 Prediction model K1 Postmenopausal K1 Ovarian neoplasms K1 Neoplasias ováricas K1 Early detection of cancer K1 Detección precoz del cáncer K1 Diagnóstico precoz K1 Early diagnosis K1 CA-125 Antigen K1 Antígeno Ca-125 K1 Postmenopause K1 Posmenopausia AB Background: Cancer Antigen 125 (CA125) is currently the best available ovarian cancer screening biomarker. However, CA125 has been limited by low sensitivity and specificity in part due to normal variation between individuals. Personal characteristics that influence CA125 could be used to improve its performance as screening biomarker.Methods: We developed and validated linear and dichotomous (≥35 U/mL) circulating CA125 prediction models in postmenopausal women without ovarian cancer who participated in one of five large population-based studies: Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO, n = 26,981), European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC, n = 861), the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS/NHSII, n = 81), and the New England Case Control Study (NEC, n = 923). The prediction models were developed using stepwise regression in PLCO and validated in EPIC, NHS/NHSII and NEC.Result: The linear CA125 prediction model, which included age, race, body mass index (BMI), smoking status and duration, parity, hysterectomy, age at menopause, and duration of hormone therapy (HT), explained 5% of the total variance of CA125. The correlation between measured and predicted CA125 was comparable in PLCO testing dataset (r = 0.18) and external validation datasets (r = 0.14). The dichotomous CA125 prediction model included age, race, BMI, smoking status and duration, hysterectomy, time since menopause, and duration of HT with AUC of 0.64 in PLCO and 0.80 in validation dataset.Conclusions: The linear prediction model explained a small portion of the total variability of CA125, suggesting the need to identify novel predictors of CA125. The dichotomous prediction model showed moderate discriminatory performance which validated well in independent dataset. Our dichotomous model could be valuable in identifying healthy women who may have elevated CA125 levels, which may contribute to reducing false positive tests using CA125 as screening biomarker. PB BioMed Central Ltd. YR 2019 FD 2019-11-26 LK http://hdl.handle.net/10668/3159 UL http://hdl.handle.net/10668/3159 LA en NO Sasamoto N, Babic A, Rosner BA, Fortner RT, Vitonis AF, Yamamoto H, et al. Development and validation of circulating CA125 prediction models in postmenopausal women. J Ovarian Res. 2019 Nov 26;12(1):116. DS RISalud RD Apr 11, 2025