RT Journal Article T1 Deciphering the complex interplay between pancreatic cancer, diabetes mellitus subtypes and obesity/BMI through causal inference and mediation analyses. A1 Molina-Montes, Esther A1 Coscia, Claudia A1 Gómez-Rubio, Paulina A1 Fernández, Alba A1 Boenink, Rianne A1 Rava, Marta A1 Márquez, Mirari A1 Molero, Xavier A1 Löhr, Matthias A1 Sharp, Linda A1 Michalski, Christoph W A1 Farré, Antoni A1 Perea, José A1 O'Rorke, Michael A1 Greenhalf, William A1 Iglesias, Mar A1 Tardón, Adonina A1 Gress, Thomas M A1 Barberá, Victor M A1 Crnogorac-Jurcevic, Tatjana A1 Muñoz-Bellvís, Luis A1 Dominguez-Muñoz, J Enrique A1 Renz, Harald A1 Balcells, Joaquim A1 Costello, Eithne A1 Ilzarbe, Lucas A1 Kleeff, Jörg A1 Kong, Bo A1 Mora, Josefina A1 O'Driscoll, Damian A1 Poves, Ignasi A1 Scarpa, Aldo A1 Yu, Jingru A1 Hidalgo, Manuel A1 Lawlor, Rita T A1 Ye, Weimin A1 Carrato, Alfredo A1 Real, Francisco X A1 Malats, Núria A1 PanGenEU Study Investigators, K1 cancer epidemiology K1 diabetes mellitus K1 obesity K1 pancreatic cancer AB To characterise the association between type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) subtypes (new-onset T2DM (NODM) or long-standing T2DM (LSDM)) and pancreatic cancer (PC) risk, to explore the direction of causation through Mendelian randomisation (MR) analysis and to assess the mediation role of body mass index (BMI). Information about T2DM and related factors was collected from 2018 PC cases and 1540 controls from the PanGenEU (European Study into Digestive Illnesses and Genetics) study. A subset of PC cases and controls had glycated haemoglobin, C-peptide and genotype data. Multivariate logistic regression models were applied to derive ORs and 95% CIs. T2DM and PC-related single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) were used as instrumental variables (IVs) in bidirectional MR analysis to test for two-way causal associations between PC, NODM and LSDM. Indirect and direct effects of the BMI-T2DM-PC association were further explored using mediation analysis. T2DM was associated with an increased PC risk when compared with non-T2DM (OR=2.50; 95% CI: 2.05 to 3.05), the risk being greater for NODM (OR=6.39; 95% CI: 4.18 to 9.78) and insulin users (OR=3.69; 95% CI: 2.80 to 4.86). The causal association between T2DM (57-SNP IV) and PC was not statistically significant (ORLSDM=1.08, 95% CI: 0.86 to 1.29, ORNODM=1.06, 95% CI: 0.95 to 1.17). In contrast, there was a causal association between PC (40-SNP IV) and NODM (OR=2.85; 95% CI: 2.04 to 3.98), although genetic pleiotropy was present (MR-Egger: p value=0.03). Potential mediating effects of BMI (125-SNPs as IV), particularly in terms of weight loss, were evidenced on the NODM-PC association (indirect effect for BMI in previous years=0.55). Findings of this study do not support a causal effect of LSDM on PC, but suggest that PC causes NODM. The interplay between obesity, PC and T2DM is complex. YR 2020 FD 2020-05-14 LK https://hdl.handle.net/10668/26702 UL https://hdl.handle.net/10668/26702 LA en DS RISalud RD Apr 12, 2025