RT Journal Article T1 Confirmed disability progression as a marker of permanent disability in multiple sclerosis. A1 Sharmin, Sifat A1 Bovis, Francesca A1 Malpas, Charles A1 Horakova, Dana A1 Havrdova, Eva Kubala A1 Izquierdo, Guillermo A1 Eichau, Sara A1 Trojano, Maria A1 Prat, Alexandre A1 Girard, Marc A1 Duquette, Pierre A1 Onofrj, Marco A1 Lugaresi, Alessandra A1 Grand'Maison, Francois A1 Grammond, Pierre A1 Sola, Patrizia A1 Ferraro, Diana A1 Terzi, Murat A1 Gerlach, Oliver A1 Alroughani, Raed A1 Boz, Cavit A1 Shaygannejad, Vahid A1 van Pesch, Vincent A1 Cartechini, Elisabetta A1 Kappos, Ludwig A1 Lechner-Scott, Jeannette A1 Bergamaschi, Roberto A1 Turkoglu, Recai A1 Solaro, Claudio A1 Iuliano, Gerardo A1 Granella, Franco A1 Van Wijmeersch, Bart A1 Spitaleri, Daniele A1 Slee, Mark A1 McCombe, Pamela A1 Prevost, Julie A1 Ampapa, Radek A1 Ozakbas, Serkan A1 Sanchez-Menoyo, Jose Luis A1 Soysal, Aysun A1 Vucic, Steve A1 Petersen, Thor A1 de Gans, Koen A1 Butler, Ernest A1 Hodgkinson, Suzanne A1 Sidhom, Youssef A1 Gouider, Riadh A1 Cristiano, Edgardo A1 Castillo-Triviño, Tamara A1 Saladino, Maria Laura A1 Barnett, Michael A1 Moore, Fraser A1 Rozsa, Csilla A1 Yamout, Bassem A1 Skibina, Olga A1 van der Walt, Anneke A1 Buzzard, Katherine A1 Gray, Orla A1 Hughes, Stella A1 Sempere, Angel Perez A1 Singhal, Bhim A1 Fragoso, Yara A1 Shaw, Cameron A1 Kermode, Allan A1 Taylor, Bruce A1 Simo, Magdolna A1 Shuey, Neil A1 Al-Harbi, Talal A1 Macdonell, Richard A1 Dominguez, Jose Andres A1 Csepany, Tunde A1 Sirbu, Carmen Adella A1 Sormani, Maria Pia A1 Butzkueven, Helmut A1 Kalincik, Tomas K1 CLARITY K1 clinical trial K1 functional system impairment K1 risk scoring K1 sustained disability progression AB The prevention of disability over the long term is the main treatment goal in multiple sclerosis (MS); however, randomized clinical trials evaluate only short-term treatment effects on disability. This study aimed to define criteria for 6-month confirmed disability progression events of MS with a high probability of resulting in sustained long-term disability worsening. In total, 14,802 6-month confirmed disability progression events were identified in 8741 patients from the global MSBase registry. For each 6-month confirmed progression event (13,321 in the development and 1481 in the validation cohort), a sustained progression score was calculated based on the demographic and clinical characteristics at the time of progression that were predictive of long-term disability worsening. The score was externally validated in the Cladribine Tablets Treating Multiple Sclerosis Orally (CLARITY) trial. The score was based on age, sex, MS phenotype, relapse activity, disability score and its change from baseline, number of affected functional system domains and worsening in six of the domains. In the internal validation cohort, a 61% lower chance of improvement was estimated with each unit increase in the score (hazard ratio 0.39, 95% confidence interval 0.29-0.52; discriminatory index 0.89). The proportions of progression events sustained at 5 years stratified by the score were 1: 72%; 2: 88%; 3: 94%; 4: 100%. The results of the CLARITY trial were confirmed for reduction of disability progression that was >88% likely to be sustained (events with score ˃1.5). Clinicodemographic characteristics of 6-month confirmed disability progression events identify those at high risk of sustained long-term disability. This knowledge will allow future trials to better assess the effect of therapy on long-term disability accrual. YR 2022 FD 2022-06-09 LK http://hdl.handle.net/10668/19954 UL http://hdl.handle.net/10668/19954 LA en DS RISalud RD Apr 19, 2025